Predicting the Size Distribution of Violent Events in War

I gave this presentation yesterday at the UK Ministry of Defence.  It is based on work in progress with my former student Stijn Van Weezel and Neil Johnson of the University of Miami.

This continues a long-standing research programme I’ve had with Neil and many other people for more than a decade.  The high points have been here and here.

The slides should be self explanatory.

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2 thoughts on “Predicting the Size Distribution of Violent Events in War

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