War Death Estimates that are Lighter than Air

I'm in the middle of reexamining the data collected by the University Collaborative Iraq Mortality Study (UCIMS) (This is joint work with my former student Stijn Van Weezel.) The number of excess deaths estimated by the UCIMS is 405,000, 461,000, 500,000, more than 500,000.... well, that's the point....it's not clear exactly what the UCIMS estimate is but it … Continue reading War Death Estimates that are Lighter than Air

Who Remembers the Chilcot Inquiry?

OK, that was an unfair question. Few readers are old enough to have well-formed memories of the days when disco was King and the Chilcot Inquiry, also known as the Iraq Inquiry, opened its doors. But at long last we are hurtling toward a conclusion to this epic adventure so I'd like to throw down a … Continue reading Who Remembers the Chilcot Inquiry?

Childmortality.org Recognizes Reality in the DRC

Loyal readers will recall my bold prediction that childmortality.org would bow to reality in 2015 and explicitly recognize that child mortality rates have steadily decreased in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) during the war (which began around 1999).  (Well, actually an insider told me this would happen so perhaps this prediction wasn't so bold.) The 2014 … Continue reading Childmortality.org Recognizes Reality in the DRC

Columbia Journalism Review does at least have an error correction mechanism

In this post and this post I criticized Columbia Journalism Review(CJR) for writing about Iraq war-death numbers without investigating the methodologies for the production of the numbers and for suppressing the uncertainty that surrounds the numbers. Yet I need to credit CJR for one thing - they do investigate errors and make some corrections.  My personal experience … Continue reading Columbia Journalism Review does at least have an error correction mechanism