Show me Your Data

I would love to claim Andrew Gelman as the model for my blogging although, realistically, I'll never never be able to match his torrent of wonderful material.  Thus, it's always an honour when Andrew features my work on my blog. Andrew's piece brings high-level attention to the issue of fabrication in survey research  in general and to the …

Dispute Resolution by Mutual Maiming

I'm puzzled by the following sequence of events.  (This story has a very clear summary.) The UN issues a report entitled "Children and Armed Conflict".  The report highlights quite a few groups for committing grave abuses against children.  The "Saudi Arabia-led Coalition"  in the war in Yemen is on this UN blacklist.  The report fingers …

Forecasting World War III – An Exchange of Letters

I'm sure that this reminder of my article in Significance  will awaken warm memories in many of you. In it, I used an article of Pasquale Cirrilo and Nassim Nicholas Taleb to help me make my case.  I think that the Cirillo-Taleb paper is quite interesting.  However, it is not in any way a shoot-down of …

Check out my New Article at STATS.org

Hello everybody. Please have a look at this new article that has just gone up on STATS.org. It is a compact exposition of the evidence of fabrication in public opinion surveys in Iraq as well as the threats and debates flowing from this evidence. My current plan for the blog is to do one follow …