Economics of Warfare – Lecture 5

Here is lecture 5.

Economics of Warfare – Lecture 4

Here are the slides for last week's lecture.  I plan to upload lecture 5 later today. I apologize for the lack of blogging but I've been snowed under by teaching and Head of Department duties.  Fortunately, the latter duty will be ending in a few weeks and I'll have more time.  Meanwhile, I do plan …

Economics of Warfare – Lecture 3

Here's lecture 3 from my economics of warfare course.

The Colombia Referendum and the Magic 50% Threshold

This is a follow-up to the article I wrote with Neil Johnson on the Colombia peace referendum. I learned a lot from the comments that were posted both for the original write-up and on the blog of Andrew Gelman.  This comment, in particular, seems important to me: Dzhaughnsays: October 5, 2016 at 12:17 pm The …

Article on the Colombian Referendum

Please have a look at this new article on Colombia's peace referendum that I've just written with my long-time co-author Neil Johnson. The point is that there are many sources of statistical error in the counting process for the referendum to the point where it would be more reasonable to call it a draw than …

Economics of Warfare – Lecture 2

Here is lecture 2 just given a couple of hours ago.

Department of Corrections: Mike Spagat – Edition 2

I've just gone through and corrected this post. The present post is, therefore, a follow up to this earlier one which, weirdly, was about correcting the claim that Keynes had claimed that he always corrected himself when he's wrong.  It seems that Keynes didn't actually say this although he did correct himself when wrong. Anyway, I …