The Statistical Estimates of Peru’s Truth and Reconciliation Commission are Really Bad: Part 1

Silvio Rendon's powerful rejoinder on the statistical work of Peru's Truth and Reconciliation Commission (TRC) is finally out. This is a big development so I'm starting a brand new series to cover it.  Of course, this new series is related to the earlier one.   But I'll strive to make the present series self-contained so you can start here if … Continue reading The Statistical Estimates of Peru’s Truth and Reconciliation Commission are Really Bad: Part 1

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The Perils and Pitfalls of Matching War Deaths Across Lists: Part 2

This is my second post with Josh Dougherty of Iraq Body Count (IBC).  We asserted in the first one that Carpenter, Fuller and Roberts (CFR) did a terrible job of matching violent events in Iraq, 2004-2009, between the IBC dataset and the SIGACTs dataset of the US military and its coalition partners. In particular, CFR … Continue reading The Perils and Pitfalls of Matching War Deaths Across Lists: Part 2

New Report on the Relationship between Drone Strikes and Suicide Attacks in Pakistan

I've just published a report with my PhD student Luqman Saeed and Iain Overton, the executive director of Action on Armed Violence, one of the NGO's that I serve on the Board of. The above link goes to a short summary of the report which, in turn, links to the full report.  So here I'll … Continue reading New Report on the Relationship between Drone Strikes and Suicide Attacks in Pakistan