Important New Violent Death Estimates for the War in Peru with Implications Beyond just Peru: Part 7

Today I return to Peru.  If you're not up to speed on this discussion please go back to post 1 of the present series. I could include this post in either this series, this series or this series.  But I think it works best within my first Peru series because the present post covers an … Continue reading Important New Violent Death Estimates for the War in Peru with Implications Beyond just Peru: Part 7

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The Statistical Estimates of Peru’s Truth and Reconciliation Commission are Really Bad: Part 3

This post continues my series on Silvio Rendon's rejoinder to the reply of Daniel Manrique-Vallier and Patrick Ball (MVB) to Silvio Rendon's critique of the statistical work of Peru's Truth and Reconciliation Commission (TRC). OK that's complicated so how about this? The present series covers a second paper by Rendon that definitively shreds the TRC's … Continue reading The Statistical Estimates of Peru’s Truth and Reconciliation Commission are Really Bad: Part 3

The Statistical Estimates of Peru’s Truth and Reconciliation Commission are Really Bad: Part 2

Back to blogging after diverting my energy in recent weeks to putting out a few fires. I'll assume here that you've read the first post of this new series.  So you know that overfitting is a terminal problem for the Shining Path (SP) estimates published in the statistical report of Peru's Truth and Reconciliation Commission … Continue reading The Statistical Estimates of Peru’s Truth and Reconciliation Commission are Really Bad: Part 2

The Statistical Estimates of Peru’s Truth and Reconciliation Commission are Really Bad: Part 1

Silvio Rendon's powerful rejoinder on the statistical work of Peru's Truth and Reconciliation Commission (TRC) is finally out. This is a big development so I'm starting a brand new series to cover it.  Of course, this new series is related to the earlier one.   But I'll strive to make the present series self-contained so you can start here if … Continue reading The Statistical Estimates of Peru’s Truth and Reconciliation Commission are Really Bad: Part 1

Important New Violent Death Estimates for the War in Peru with Implications Beyond just Peru: Part 6

This is the latest installment in a series that considers the statistical report done for the Peruvian Truth and Reconciliation Commission (TRC), Silvio Rendon’s critique of this statistical report and a reply to Rendon from Daniel Manrique Vallier and Patrick Ball (MVB) who worked on the TRC statistical report.  The present post continues to discuss the MVB reply. (Note … Continue reading Important New Violent Death Estimates for the War in Peru with Implications Beyond just Peru: Part 6

Important New Violent Death Estimates for the War in Peru with Implications Beyond just Peru: Part 5

I'll start this post by reacting to some interesting comments to part 4 of this series which was, you may be surprised to learn,  preceded by part 1, part 2 and part 3.  I'll assume that readers have some familiarity with these posts but I'll also try to go slowly and remind readers of things … Continue reading Important New Violent Death Estimates for the War in Peru with Implications Beyond just Peru: Part 5